2030 Revenues and EBITDA up by 40% and 90% respectively compared to 2025, 2030 Net profit at €500mln, strong acceleration of the deleveraging path driven by cash generation
More than 50 billion euro of new orders envisaged throughout the Plan, with new contracts in the Defense sector expected in 2026
Doubling of production capacity of Italian shipyards in the Defense segment to accommodate the accelerating domestic and international demand
Increased productivity in all commercial segments, leveraging on the rearticulation of the Group’s global production capacity
Further enhancement of strategic projects: operations excellence, procurement excellence, digital ship and energy transition
Strengthening of the Underwater segment and inorganic growth opportunities
Sustainability Plan fully integrated in the Business Plan, with targets aligned with the directives of Innovation, Inclusion and Integrity
The management will present the details of the Group's strategy to the market at the Capital Markets Day to be held in Milan by the first quarter of 2026
Fincantieri’s 2026-2030 Business Plan envisages revenue growth in all segments accompanied by a significant increase in margins, also thanks to efficiency measures and the business mix evolution, as well as a further expansion of net profit, expected to reach approximately euro 500 million at the end of 2030. Cash generation is expected to accelerate throughout the Business Plan timeline, leading to further deleveraging.
Excluding any currently unforeseeable events, the following results are expected over the Plan horizon:
| 2028 | 2030 | |
| Revenues | ~ € 11 bn | ~ € 12,5 bn |
| EBITDA | ~ € 930 mln | ~ € 1.250 mln |
| EBITDA margin | ~ 8,5% | ~ 10% |
| Net Profit | ~ € 220 mln | ~ € 500 mln |
| Profit margin | ~ 2% | ~ 4% |
| PFN / EBITDA[1] | ~ 1,7x | ~ 1,0x |
Rome, 16 December 2025 - The Board of Directors of Fincantieri S.p.A., chaired by Biagio Mazzotta, examined and approved the 2026-2030 Business Plan, the sustainability strategy developed in continuity with the sustainable transition process and in support of the goals of the 2030 Agenda of the United Nations as well as the 2026-2030 Sustainability Plan.
Pierroberto Folgiero, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Fincantieri, said: “The 2026-2030 Business Plan represents, firstly, an industrial manifesto borne from a strategic vision of the future, at a time when our industry is in the middle of a positive macro-trend, both in the commercial and defense sectors. With this Plan, we enter a new phase of growth: we strengthen production capacity, increase competitiveness and maintain focus on our core business and operational efficiency. In the coming years we will double the production capacity in Italian Defense shipyards, increase competitiveness in the commercial and offshore segments, consolidate our role in the strategic Underwater sector and positioned to capture new opportunities in international markets. We are building on the strategic projects launched in the previous Business Plan, focusing on the integration of the physical ship and the digital ship, with the development of 'navis sapiens' and the evolution of propulsion systems towards increasingly sustainable solutions, from clean fuels to hydrogen, extending to the ambition of nuclear power. This Plan is not only a response to growing global demand, but the expression of a strategy that focuses on the ability to evolve, integrate talents and technologies, strengthen the supply chain and expand the boundaries of the naval industry, aware that Fincantieri's value is measured by the solidity of its results, the growth of its capabilities and its capacity to generate industrial and employment impact for our country”.
The 2026-2030 Business Plan foresees a rapid strengthening of the Group’s global production system to capture the many opportunities offered by a fast-growing market:
• A Cruise pipeline with strong visibility and high/increasing profitability
- Operational excellence as the foundation for the deployment of a backlog expected to remain at record levels over the coming years. Targeted actions to improve shipyard efficiency, strengthen the supply chain, and optimize costs
• Ramp-up of production capacity to capture the opportunities of the global defense growth macro-trend
- Investment strategy to support accelerating demand, reducing delivery times and increasing production capacity, with new orders expected in 2026 in Italy, United States and other export markets, while structurally reinforcing the Group’s international competitiveness
• Expansion of VARD in high value-added markets
- Significant margin improvement, leveraging on the high-productivity assets in Vietnam and a product offering increasingly focused on high-technology segments
• An increasingly comprehensive and competitive product portfolio in the unconventional Underwater business
- Strong growth across defense, commercial and dual-use applications, driven by synergies with the conventional underwater business and by a network of agreements and partnerships ensuring comprehensive coverage of demand, while also leaving room for inorganic growth opportunities
Thanks to its distinctive capabilities in high-complexity shipbuilding, Fincantieri is ideally positioned to capture the opportunities offered by the market, providing long-term visibility to its business, supply chain and stakeholders.
With over 50 billion euro in order intake expected between 2026 and 2030, the Business Plan further strengthens Fincantieri’s global leadership in the production life-cycle management of digital and green vessels, ensures a highly competitive positioning in the defense and specialized vessels markets, and consolidates the Group as a supply chain aggregator and catalyst for innovation in the Underwater domain.
Fincantieri confirms its leadership in the cruise ship sector, with over 49% market share, 34 units in portfolio and deliveries scheduled up to 2036, boasting among its clients all the main global players in the cruise tourism industry.
The next industrial cycle in this sector will be supported by a number of positive dynamics: (i) a 4.5% average annual growth rate in cruise passengers (over the 2024-2032 period), underpinned by a global tourist base where less than 2% of travelers currently opt for a cruise vacation, by the excellent value-for-money of the cruise product and the increasing segmentation of the offerings; (ii) the saturation of production capacity in Europe; and (iii) digitalization and the ecological transition, which are driving demand for vessels equipped with state-of-the-art technologies and next-generation propulsion systems.
The current complex geopolitical environment offers significant growth opportunities in the Defense sector, where global government spending is expected to reach USD 2.93 trillion by 2030, up 18.6% compared to 2025 (USD 2.47 trillion), with expenditure on naval vessels projected to increase broadly in line with this trend. Leveraging its strong platform integration capabilities and a solid track record in international programs, Fincantieri aims to further enhance its commercial relationships with the world’s leading navies, while also developing new projects in accessible export markets, such as Southeast Asia and Middle East.
The Group has identified commercial opportunities in the three-year period 2026-2028 for over euro 56 billion, of which about euro 23 billion with a medium-high probability of success. This demand will translate into new orders expected as early as 2026, with a positive impact on revenues over the Plan horizon.
Fincantieri confirms its position among the global leading players in the Offshore and Specialized Vessels market, a segment supported by the projected increase in energy demand, with the offshore wind sector expected to grow at an average annual ratio of 6-7% through 2050 and the offshore Oil & Gas still representing 16% of global energy supply, and by other high-growth markets such as cable-laying vessels and icebreakers. In this context, the construction and maintenance of energy and communications infrastructure will continue to sustain demand for highly specialized vessels, including cable-laying vessels, Construction Service Operation Vessels (CSOVs) and Service Operation Vessels (SOVs).
The Group’s portfolio stands out for its state-of-the-art offshore units equipped with remote control systems and green propulsion solutions, with engines also designed for the use of green ammonia. These innovative solutions are set to profoundly transform offshore operations by enhancing efficiency, safety and sustainability. The accessible market for Fincantieri in the period 2026-2030 is estimated at about 130-140 newbuild units.
In the Underwater segment, established in May 2025, the reference market is expected to double in the period 2026-2030 from approximately euro 22 billion to euro 43 billion. In Defense, growth is driven both by the conventional business (which includes submarines, effectors and sonar systems) and by the growing demand for solutions for Mine Warfare, ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance) and ASW (Anti-Submarine Warfare) missions, in response to increasingly hybrid and asymmetric threats.
In the commercial sector, the potential for growth is equally significant, fueled by the urgency to monitor, preserve and protect underwater infrastructure – such as submarine cables – and critical assets such as ports. A further driver of development is represented by the dual-use applications, characterized by an ecosystem of innovative technologies, such as underwater and surface drones, command and control systems and advanced sensors.
The 2026-2030 Business Plan is fully integrated with the Group’s sustainability strategy, structured around the following pillars:
The Group is accelerating the energy and digital transition creating a path of continuous technological transformation, promoting sustainable development models and enabling people and partners to express their full potential within a systemic perspective. Inspired by the principles of the blue economy, applied across the entire value chain to promote ethical business practices and a responsible supply chain, Fincantieri integrates economic growth, environmental protection and social progress. In doing so, it fosters safety and security, generates shared value for communities, businesses and territories, and strengthens its global leadership. The 2026-2030 Sustainability Plan addresses the Group’s material impacts and risks and aims to capture the growth opportunities arising from global trends such as the increasing demand for technologically advanced and green vessels, the growing importance of the blue economy, and the technological and digital evolution of the regulatory and social environment.
In order to further strengthen Fincantieri’s global leadership in high-complexity marine engineering, a series of strategic initiatives has been identified, structured into divisional initiatives, cross-divisional initiatives and inorganic growth initiatives. These will be implemented across production, technology and human capital levels, ensuring the Group’s long-term success.
EVOLUTION OF ACTIVITIES IN THE CRUISE SECTOR
EVOLUTION OF ACTIVITIES IN NAVAL
EVOLUTION OF OFFSHORE AND SPECIALIZED VESSELS ACTIVITIES
GROWTH OF THE UNDERWATER SEGMENT
CAPACITY BOOST
OPERATIONS EXCELLENCE
EVOLUTION OF THE SUPPLY CHAIN AND PROCUREMENT EXCELLENCE
NAVIS SAPIENS AND ENERGY TRANSITION
LONG TERM RESOURCE PLANNING
[1] Net debt includes: Net current financial debt: cash and cash equivalents, current financial assets, current financial liabilities and the current portion of non-current loans; Net non-current financial debt: non-current financial liabilities, debt instruments and non-current financial receivables. Net debt / EBITDA: this is calculated as the ratio between the Net debt and EBITDA.